Cirrhosis natural history, complications and prognosis

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Editor-In-Chief: C. Michael Gibson, M.S., M.D. [1] Associate Editor(s)-in-Chief: Sudarshana Datta, MD [2]

Overview

Cirrhosis is an irreversible process, the course of which is highly variable in patients. The natural history progresses in such a way that there is a lengthy stage of compensation, followed by the development of complications and sequelae as a result of the cirrhosis. The devastating complications include complete liver failure or the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. Other complications include portal hypertension, ascites, jaundice, itching, esophageal varices, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, hepatopulmonary syndrome and cardiomyopathy. Prognosis depends on the causes, existing complications and a variety of factors which make the prediction of life expectancy questionable. There are scores which classify disease severity and to determine suitability for liver transplantation in patients.

Natural History

  • The symptoms of cirrhosis usually develop in the fourth or fifth decade of life, and start with symptoms such as fever, anorexia, fatigueweakness, nauseavomiting, weight loss and jaundice.[1]
  • If left untreated, patients with cirrhosis may progress to develop ascites, esophageal varices, hepatic encephalopathy, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatopulmonary and hepatorenal syndrome.[2]
  • The general course of cirrhosis is characterized by a long stage of compensation, which may be followed by deterioration and development of specific complications.
  • Life threatening complications may develop in almost any patient. Once the first complication in a patient with cirrhosis is seen, it is soon followed by numerous other complications that significantly decrease life expectancy.
  • Prediction of the exact course of the disease and generalization to the entire population is difficult.
  • Several factors play a key role in determining the course of the disease:
    • Existing hepatic function
    • Etiology of cirrhosis
    • Disease progression
    • Development of hepatocellular carcinoma
    • Ability of the patient to withstand a chosen therapeutic intervention
    • Ability of the intervention to significantly improve the outcome

Decompensated Cirrhosis

Complications

Prognosis

  • The prognosis of patients varies with existing function of the liver, etiology of cirrhosis, progression of the disease, development of HCC and ability to withstand therapy.
Well-Compensated, no alcohol 35% mortality at 2 years
Onset of Ascites 50% mortality at 2 years
Variceal bleeding 65% mortality at 1 year (35% short-term mortality)

Poor Prognostic Factors

Scoring Systems

References

  1. Sajja KC, Mohan DP, Rockey DC (2014). "Age and ethnicity in cirrhosis". J. Investig. Med. 62 (7): 920–6. doi:10.1097/JIM.0000000000000106. PMC 4172494. PMID 25203153.
  2. Lindenmeyer CC, McCullough AJ (2018). "The Natural History of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-An Evolving View". Clin Liver Dis. 22 (1): 11–21. doi:10.1016/j.cld.2017.08.003. PMID 29128051.
  3. 3.0 3.1 Rodriguez-Roisin R, Krowka MJ, Herve P, Fallon MB; ERS Task Force Pulmonary-Hepatic Vascular Disorders (PHD) Scientific Committee. Pulmonary-Hepatic vascular Disorders (PHD). Eur Respir J 2004;24:861-80. PMID 15516683.
  4. Pugh RN, Murray-Lyon IM, Dawson JL, Pietroni MC, Williams R. Transection of the esophagus for bleeding oesophageal varices. Br J Surg 1973;60:646-9. PMID 4541913.

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