Cirrhosis natural history, complications and prognosis: Difference between revisions

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__NOTOC__
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{{Cirrhosis}}
{{Cirrhosis}}
{{CMG}} {{AE}} [[User: Shankar Kumar |Shankar Kumar, M.B.B.S.]] [mailto:kumarshankar@wikidoc.org] {{ADI}}
{{CMG}} {{AE}} {{Cherry}}


==Overview==
==Overview==
Cirrhosis is an irreversible process, the course of which is highly variable from patient to patient. The natural history progresses so that there is a lengthy stage of compensation, followed by development of complications and sequelae as a result of the cirrhosis. The devastating complications include complete [[liver failure]] or the development of [[hepatocellular carcinoma]]. Other complications are [[portal hypertension]], [[ascites]], [[jaundice]], [[itching]], [[esophageal varices]], [[spontaneous bacterial peritonitis]], [[hepatic encephalopathy]], [[hepatorenal syndrome]], [[hepatopulmonary syndrome]] and [[cardiomyopathy]]. Prognosis depends on the causes, existing complications and a variety of factors which make prediction of life expectancy questionable. There are scores by which to classify severity and to determine suitability for liver transplant.
Cirrhosis is an irreversible process, the course of which is highly variable in [[Patient|patients]]. The [[Natural history of disease|natural history]] progresses in such a way that there is a lengthy stage of compensation, followed by the development of complications and sequelae as a result of the cirrhosis. The devastating complications include complete [[liver failure]] or the development of [[hepatocellular carcinoma]]. Other complications include [[portal hypertension]], [[ascites]], [[jaundice]], [[itching]], [[esophageal varices]], [[spontaneous bacterial peritonitis]], [[hepatic encephalopathy]], [[hepatorenal syndrome]], [[hepatopulmonary syndrome]] and [[cardiomyopathy]]. [[Prognosis]] depends on the causes, existing complications and a variety of factors which make the prediction of [[life expectancy]] questionable. There are scores that classify disease severity and help to determine suitability for [[liver transplantation]] in patients.


===Natural History===
===Natural history===
*The symptoms of (disease name) usually develop in the first/ second/ third decade of life, and start with symptoms such as ___.  
*The [[symptoms]] of cirrhosis usually develop in the fourth or fifth decade of life, and start with [[symptoms]] such as [[fever]], [[anorexia]], [[fatigue]], [[weakness]], [[nausea]], [[vomiting]], [[weight loss]] and [[jaundice]].<ref name="pmid25203153">{{cite journal |vauthors=Sajja KC, Mohan DP, Rockey DC |title=Age and ethnicity in cirrhosis |journal=J. Investig. Med. |volume=62 |issue=7 |pages=920–6 |year=2014 |pmid=25203153 |pmc=4172494 |doi=10.1097/JIM.0000000000000106 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid9683971">{{cite journal |vauthors=Williams EJ, Iredale JP |title=Liver cirrhosis |journal=Postgrad Med J |volume=74 |issue=870 |pages=193–202 |year=1998 |pmid=9683971 |pmc=2360862 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid18328931">{{cite journal |vauthors=Schuppan D, Afdhal NH |title=Liver cirrhosis |journal=Lancet |volume=371 |issue=9615 |pages=838–51 |year=2008 |pmid=18328931 |pmc=2271178 |doi=10.1016/S0140-6736(08)60383-9 |url=}}</ref>
*The symptoms of (disease name) typically develop ___ years after exposure to ___.
*If left untreated, patients with cirrhosis may progress to develop [[ascites]], [[esophageal varices]], [[hepatic encephalopathy]], [[spontaneous bacterial peritonitis]], [[Hepatopulmonary syndrome|hepatopulmonary]] and [[hepatorenal syndrome]].<ref name="pmid29128051">{{cite journal |vauthors=Lindenmeyer CC, McCullough AJ |title=The Natural History of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-An Evolving View |journal=Clin Liver Dis |volume=22 |issue=1 |pages=11–21 |year=2018 |pmid=29128051 |doi=10.1016/j.cld.2017.08.003 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid25230084">{{cite journal |vauthors=Bloom S, Kemp W, Lubel J |title=Portal hypertension: pathophysiology, diagnosis and management |journal=Intern Med J |volume=45 |issue=1 |pages=16–26 |year=2015 |pmid=25230084 |doi=10.1111/imj.12590 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid9683971">{{cite journal |vauthors=Williams EJ, Iredale JP |title=Liver cirrhosis |journal=Postgrad Med J |volume=74 |issue=870 |pages=193–202 |year=1998 |pmid=9683971 |pmc=2360862 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid8550036">{{cite journal |vauthors=Arroyo V, Ginès P, Gerbes AL, Dudley FJ, Gentilini P, Laffi G, Reynolds TB, Ring-Larsen H, Schölmerich J |title=Definition and diagnostic criteria of refractory ascites and hepatorenal syndrome in cirrhosis. International Ascites Club |journal=Hepatology |volume=23 |issue=1 |pages=164–76 |year=1996 |pmid=8550036 |doi=10.1002/hep.510230122 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid1833293">{{cite journal |vauthors=Wilkinson SP, Moore KP, Arroyo V |title=Pathogenesis of ascites and hepatorenal syndrome |journal=Gut |volume=Suppl |issue= |pages=S12–7 |year=1991 |pmid=1833293 |pmc=1405222 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid1435935">{{cite journal |vauthors=Epstein M |title=The hepatorenal syndrome--newer perspectives |journal=N. Engl. J. Med. |volume=327 |issue=25 |pages=1810–1 |year=1992 |pmid=1435935 |doi=10.1056/NEJM199212173272509 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid14654322">{{cite journal |vauthors=Ginès P, Guevara M, Arroyo V, Rodés J |title=Hepatorenal syndrome |journal=Lancet |volume=362 |issue=9398 |pages=1819–27 |year=2003 |pmid=14654322 |doi=10.1016/S0140-6736(03)14903-3 |url=}}</ref>
*If left untreated, [#]% of patients with [disease name] may progress to develop [manifestation 1], [manifestation 2], and [manifestation 3].
*The general course of cirrhosis is characterized by a long stage of compensation, which may be followed by deterioration and development of specific complications.
*The general course of cirrhosis is characterized by a long stage of compensation, which can be followed by deterioration and development of specific complications. Life threatening complications can develop in almost any patient. Once the first complication in a patient with cirrhosis is seen, it is soon followed by a string of subsequent complications which significantly decreases life expectancy.  It is difficult to predict the exact course of the disease and generalize it to the entire population. Several factors play a key role such as an individual's existing hepatic function, the etiology of cirrhosis, whether the ongoing damage can be halted or slowed down and whether the patient develops [[hepatocellular carcinoma]]. Various issues need to be addressed in addition to formulating the life expectancy of a cirrhotic patient. It is important to consider whether the patient can withstand the chosen therapeutic intervention, and whether the intervention would significantly improve the outcome.  Even though the course of cirrhosis is dependent on multiple factors, there is a definite need for prognostic models and scoring systems especially when it comes to management with [[liver transplantation]].
*Life threatening complications may develop in almost any patient. Once the first complication in a patient with cirrhosis is seen, it is soon followed by numerous other complications that significantly decrease [[life expectancy]].   
*Prediction of the exact course of the disease and generalization to the entire population is difficult.  
*Several factors play a key role in determining the course of the disease:
**Existing [[Liver|hepatic]] function  
**[[Etiology]] of cirrhosis
**Disease progression
**Development of [[hepatocellular carcinoma]]<ref name="pmid14667750">{{cite journal |vauthors=Llovet JM, Burroughs A, Bruix J |title=Hepatocellular carcinoma |journal=Lancet |volume=362 |issue=9399 |pages=1907–17 |year=2003 |pmid=14667750 |doi=10.1016/S0140-6736(03)14964-1 |url=}}</ref>
**Ability of the patient to withstand a chosen therapeutic intervention
**Ability of the intervention to significantly improve the outcome


===Decompensated Cirrhosis===
===Decompensated cirrhosis===
In patients with previously stable cirrhosis, decompensation may occur due to various causes, such as [[constipation]], [[infection]] (of any source), increased alcohol intake, [[medication]], bleeding from esophageal varices or [[dehydration]]. It may take the form of any of the complications of cirrhosis listed above.
In patients with stable cirrhosis, [[decompensation]] may occur due to various causes:
* [[Constipation]]
* Infection
* Increased [[alcohol]] intake
* [[Medication|Medications]]
* [[Bleeding]] from [[esophageal varices]] or [[dehydration]]


Patients with decompensated cirrhosis generally require admission to the [[hospital]], with close monitoring of the [[fluid balance]], mental status, and emphasis on adequate nutrition and medical treatment - often with [[diuretic]]s, [[antibiotic]]s, [[laxative]]s and/or [[enema]]s, [[thiamine]] and occasionally [[glucocorticoid|steroids]], [[acetylcysteine]] and [[pentoxifylline]]. Administration of [[Saline (medicine)|saline]] is generally avoided as it would add to the already high total body sodium content that typically occurs in cirrhosis.
* Patients with decompensated cirrhosis generally require:
** Admission to the [[hospital]]  
** Close monitoring of the [[fluid balance]], [[Mental status examination|mental status]]
** Emphasis on adequate [[nutrition]]
** [[Therapy|Medical treatment]] - with [[diuretic]]s, [[antibiotic]]s, [[laxative]]s or [[enema]]s, [[thiamine]], [[glucocorticoid|steroids]], [[acetylcysteine]] and [[pentoxifylline]].  
** Administration of [[Saline (medicine)|saline]] is generally avoided as it would add to the already high total body [[sodium]] content that typically occurs in cirrhosis


===Complications===
===Complications===
*The high mortality rate associated with cirrhosis is primarily due to complications.
*The high [[mortality rate]] associated with cirrhosis is primarily due to complications.
*Common complications of cirrhosis include:
*Common complications of cirrhosis include:<ref name="pmid29128051">{{cite journal |vauthors=Lindenmeyer CC, McCullough AJ |title=The Natural History of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease-An Evolving View |journal=Clin Liver Dis |volume=22 |issue=1 |pages=11–21 |year=2018 |pmid=29128051 |doi=10.1016/j.cld.2017.08.003 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid29169606">{{cite journal |vauthors=García-Criado A, Castellón D |title=Presentation of the series "Cirrhosis of the liver and its complications" |journal=Radiologia |volume= |issue= |pages= |year=2017 |pmid=29169606 |doi=10.1016/j.rx.2017.10.003 |url=}}</ref>
**Complications due to [[portal hypertension]] include:
**Complications due to [[portal hypertension]] include:<ref name="urlPrevention and management of gastroesophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage in cirrhosis - Garcia-Tsao - 2007 - Hepatology - Wiley Online Library">{{cite web |url=http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/hep.21907/full |title=Prevention and management of gastroesophageal varices and variceal hemorrhage in cirrhosis - Garcia-Tsao - 2007 - Hepatology - Wiley Online Library |format= |work= |accessdate=}}</ref>
***[[Ascites]] : [[Ascites]] is the most common complication of cirrhosis  
***[[Ascites]] : [[Ascites]] is the most common complication of cirrhosis  
****Due to increased pressure, fluid leaks through the [[Circulatory system|vasculature]] into the abdominal cavity
****Due to increased pressure, [[fluid]] leaks through the [[Circulatory system|vasculature]] into the [[abdominal cavity]]
***[[Esophageal varices]]: Increased pressure in the [[portal vein]] leads to collateral portal blood flow through vessels in the [[stomach]] and [[esophagus]]
***[[Esophageal varices]]: Increased pressure in the [[portal vein]] leads to collateral [[portal]] [[blood flow]] through [[Blood vessel|vessels]] in the [[stomach]] and [[esophagus]]
***[[Portal vein thrombosis]]
***[[Portal vein thrombosis]]<ref name="pmid7737629">{{cite journal |vauthors=Wanless IR, Wong F, Blendis LM, Greig P, Heathcote EJ, Levy G |title=Hepatic and portal vein thrombosis in cirrhosis: possible role in development of parenchymal extinction and portal hypertension |journal=Hepatology |volume=21 |issue=5 |pages=1238–47 |year=1995 |pmid=7737629 |doi= |url=}}</ref>
***Easy [[bruising]] and [[hemorrhage|bleeding]] - due to the decreased production of [[coagulation]] factors
***Easy [[bruising]] and [[hemorrhage|bleeding]] - due to the decreased production of [[coagulation]] factors
***[[Jaundice]]  
***[[Jaundice]]  
***[[Itch]]ing ([[pruritus]])
***[[Itch]]ing ([[pruritus]])
***[[Hepatic encephalopathy]] : due to inability of the [[liver]] to clear [[ammonia]] and related nitrogenous substances from the blood, which are carried to the [[brain]]  
***[[Hepatic encephalopathy]] : due to inability of the [[liver]] to clear [[ammonia]] and related nitrogenous substances from the [[blood]], which are carried to the [[brain]]<ref name="pmid10728803">{{cite journal |vauthors=Butterworth RF |title=Complications of cirrhosis III. Hepatic encephalopathy |journal=J. Hepatol. |volume=32 |issue=1 Suppl |pages=171–80 |year=2000 |pmid=10728803 |doi= |url=}}</ref>
****The features of [[hepatic encephalopathy]] are as follows:
****The features of [[hepatic encephalopathy]] are as follows:
*****Changes in [[sleep]] pattern ([[insomnia]] and [[hypersomnia]])  
*****Changes in [[sleep]] pattern ([[insomnia]] and [[hypersomnia]])  
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*****[[Amnesia|Forgetfulness]]
*****[[Amnesia|Forgetfulness]]
*****Poor [[concentration]]
*****Poor [[concentration]]
*****[[asterixis]]
*****[[Asterixis]]
*****[[Coma]]
*****[[Coma]]
*** Sensitivity to [[:Category:Drugs|drugs]] due to decreased [[metabolism]] in the [[liver]]
*** Sensitivity to [[:Category:Drugs|drugs]] due to decreased [[metabolism]] in the [[liver]]
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***[[Hepatitis B]] or [[Hepatitis C|C]]
***[[Hepatitis B]] or [[Hepatitis C|C]]
***[[Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease|Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis]]  
***[[Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease|Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis]]  
***[[hemochromatosis]]
***[[Hemochromatosis]]
**[[Infection]]: due to [[immune system]] dysfunction  
**[[Infection]]: due to [[immune system]] dysfunction  
***Non specific [[Medical sign|signs]] and [[Symptom|symptoms]]  
***Non specific [[Medical sign|signs]] and [[Symptom|symptoms]]  
**[[Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis]]:   
**[[Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis]]:<ref name="pmid16979776">{{cite journal |vauthors=Riordan SM, Williams R |title=The intestinal flora and bacterial infection in cirrhosis |journal=J. Hepatol. |volume=45 |issue=5 |pages=744–57 |year=2006 |pmid=16979776 |doi=10.1016/j.jhep.2006.08.001 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid10094951">{{cite journal |vauthors=Papatheodoridis GV, Patch D, Webster GJ, Brooker J, Barnes E, Burroughs AK |title=Infection and hemostasis in decompensated cirrhosis: a prospective study using thrombelastography |journal=Hepatology |volume=29 |issue=4 |pages=1085–90 |year=1999 |pmid=10094951 |doi=10.1002/hep.510290437 |url=}}</ref>  
***[[Infection]] of the [[fluid]] in the [[abdomen]] due to [[ascites]] with intestinal [[bacteria]]
***[[Infection]] of the [[fluid]] in the [[abdomen]] due to [[ascites]] with intestinal [[bacteria]]
***[[Symptom|Symptoms]] and [[Medical sign|signs]] include [[pain]], [[tenderness]] and [[altered mental status]]
***[[Symptom|Symptoms]] and [[Medical sign|signs]] include [[pain]], [[tenderness]] and [[altered mental status]]
***[[Patient]] may be asymptomatic in early stages  
***[[Patient]] may be asymptomatic in early stages  
***Findings on diagnostic [[paracentesis]] such as a positive culture and/or [[absolute neutrophil count]] >250/mm3 are confirmatory  
***Findings on diagnostic [[paracentesis]] such as a positive culture and/or [[absolute neutrophil count]] >250/mm3 are confirmatory  
**[[Hepatorenal syndrome]]:  
**[[Hepatorenal syndrome]]:<ref name="pmid22173162">{{cite journal |vauthors=Fede G, D'Amico G, Arvaniti V, Tsochatzis E, Germani G, Georgiadis D, Morabito A, Burroughs AK |title=Renal failure and cirrhosis: a systematic review of mortality and prognosis |journal=J. Hepatol. |volume=56 |issue=4 |pages=810–8 |year=2012 |pmid=22173162 |doi=10.1016/j.jhep.2011.10.016 |url=}}</ref>
***has a very high mortality of over 50%
***Has a very high [[mortality]] of over 50%
***arises due to decreased [[perfusion]] to the kidneys, leading to [[acute renal failure]]
***Arises due to decreased [[perfusion]] to the [[kidneys]], leading to [[acute renal failure]]
***may be masked clinically due to decreased [[muscle mass]] and [[hepatic urea]] synthesis in cirrhotic patients leading to only a small elevation of [[BUN]] and [[creatinine]]
***May be masked clinically due to decreased [[muscle mass]] and [[Liver|hepatic]] [[urea]] [[Chemical synthesis|synthesis]] in cirrhotic patients leading to only a small elevation of [[BUN]] and [[creatinine]]
***diagnosis of exclusion as causes of [[Kidney|renal]] dysfunction need to be excluded first
***Diagnosis of exclusion as causes of [[Kidney|renal]] dysfunction need to be excluded first
***bears poor [[patient]] prognosis  
***Bears poor [[patient]] prognosis  
**[[Lung|Pulmonary]] diseases associated with cirrhosis include:  
**[[Lung|Pulmonary]] diseases associated with cirrhosis include:  
***[[Hepatopulmonary syndrome]]:  
***[[Hepatopulmonary syndrome]]:<ref name="pmid12500204">{{cite journal |vauthors=Arguedas MR, Abrams GA, Krowka MJ, Fallon MB |title=Prospective evaluation of outcomes and predictors of mortality in patients with hepatopulmonary syndrome undergoing liver transplantation |journal=Hepatology |volume=37 |issue=1 |pages=192–7 |year=2003 |pmid=12500204 |doi=10.1053/jhep.2003.50023 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid15758649">{{cite journal |vauthors=Fallon MB |title=Mechanisms of pulmonary vascular complications of liver disease: hepatopulmonary syndrome |journal=J. Clin. Gastroenterol. |volume=39 |issue=4 Suppl 2 |pages=S138–42 |year=2005 |pmid=15758649 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid12715285">{{cite journal |vauthors=Naeije R |title=Hepatopulmonary syndrome and portopulmonary hypertension |journal=Swiss Med Wkly |volume=133 |issue=11-12 |pages=163–9 |year=2003 |pmid=12715285 |url=}}</ref>
****presents as a triad comprising of the following:
****presents as a triad comprising of the following:
*****existing [[liver]] disease
*****Existing [[liver]] disease
*****increased [[alveolar-arterial gradient]]  
*****Increased [[alveolar-arterial gradient]]  
*****intra-[[Lung|pulmonary]] [[vascular]] [[Dilation|dilations]]   
*****Intra-[[Lung|pulmonary]] [[vascular]] [[Dilation|dilations]]   
****mild [[hypoxemia]] may be present due to [[ascites]] causing increased intra-abdominal fluid pressure on the [[diaphragm]]<ref name="PHD">Rodriguez-Roisin R, Krowka MJ, Herve P, Fallon MB; ERS Task Force Pulmonary-Hepatic Vascular Disorders (PHD) Scientific Committee. Pulmonary-Hepatic vascular Disorders (PHD). ''Eur Respir J'' 2004;24:861-80. PMID 15516683.</ref>
****Mild [[hypoxemia]] may be present due to [[ascites]] causing increased intra-[[Abdomen|abdominal]] [[fluid]] [[pressure]] on the [[diaphragm]]<ref name="PHD">Rodriguez-Roisin R, Krowka MJ, Herve P, Fallon MB; ERS Task Force Pulmonary-Hepatic Vascular Disorders (PHD) Scientific Committee. Pulmonary-Hepatic vascular Disorders (PHD). ''Eur Respir J'' 2004;24:861-80. PMID 15516683.</ref>
*** [[Liver|Hepatic]] [[hydrothorax]]:
*** [[Liver|Hepatic]] [[hydrothorax]]:
**** intra-[[Abdomen|abdominal]] fluid may seep in through the [[Thoracic diaphragm|diaphragm]] into the [[pleural space]] leading to a [[pleural effusion]]
**** Intra-[[Abdomen|abdominal]] fluid may seep in through the [[Thoracic diaphragm|diaphragm]] into the [[pleural space]] leading to a [[pleural effusion]]
*** [[Portopulmonary hypertension]]:
*** [[Portopulmonary hypertension]]:<ref name="pmid12891571">{{cite journal |vauthors=Blendis L, Wong F |title=Portopulmonary hypertension: an increasingly important complication of cirrhosis |journal=Gastroenterology |volume=125 |issue=2 |pages=622–4 |year=2003 |pmid=12891571 |doi= |url=}}</ref>
**** due to increased [[blood pressure]] over the [[Lung|lungs]] as a consequence of [[portal hypertension]]<ref name="PHD" />
**** Increased [[Pulmonary hypertension|pulmonary arterial]] pressure as a consequence of [[portal hypertension|portal hypertension,]] due to vasoactive substances not filtered by the damaged [[liver]] leading to [[pulmonary artery]] [[vasoconstriction]]<ref name="PHD" />
** [[Cardiomyopathy]]:
** [[Cardiomyopathy]]:<ref name="pmid16741552">{{cite journal |vauthors=Gaskari SA, Honar H, Lee SS |title=Therapy insight: Cirrhotic cardiomyopathy |journal=Nat Clin Pract Gastroenterol Hepatol |volume=3 |issue=6 |pages=329–37 |year=2006 |pmid=16741552 |doi=10.1038/ncpgasthep0498 |url=}}</ref>
*** presents with normal or increased [[cardiac output]] at rest but notably decreases in [[stress]] conditions  
*** Presents with normal or increased [[cardiac output]] at rest but notably decreases in [[stress]] conditions  
** [[Muscle cramps]]:  
** [[Muscle cramps]]:  
*** occur due to reduction in circulating [[plasma]] volume
*** Occur due to reduction in circulating [[plasma]] volume


===Prognosis===
===Prognosis===
*Prognosis is generally excellent/good/poor, and the 1/5/10-year mortality/survival rate of patients with [disease name] is approximately [#]%.
*The [[prognosis]] of patients varies with existing function of the [[liver]], [[etiology]] of cirrhosis, progression of the disease, development of [[Hepatocellular carcinoma|HCC]] and ability to withstand therapy.<ref name="pmid7895544">{{cite journal |vauthors=Chu CM, Chang KY, Liaw YF |title=Prevalence and prognostic significance of bacterascites in cirrhosis with ascites |journal=Dig. Dis. Sci. |volume=40 |issue=3 |pages=561–5 |year=1995 |pmid=7895544 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid16298014">{{cite journal |vauthors=D'Amico G, Garcia-Tsao G, Pagliaro L |title=Natural history and prognostic indicators of survival in cirrhosis: a systematic review of 118 studies |journal=J. Hepatol. |volume=44 |issue=1 |pages=217–31 |year=2006 |pmid=16298014 |doi=10.1016/j.jhep.2005.10.013 |url=}}</ref>
*Depending on the extent of the [tumor/disease progression/etc.] at the time of diagnosis, the prognosis may vary. However, the prognosis is generally regarded as poor/good/excellent.
*Alcoholic cirrhosis has a worse [[prognosis]] than cirrhosis due to [[hepatitis]] and [[primary biliary cirrhosis]].<ref>Sorensen HT, Thulstrup AM, Mellemkjar L, Jepsen P, Christensen E, Olsen JH, Vilstrup H. Long-term survival and cause-specific mortality in patients with cirrhosis of the liver: a nationwide cohort study in Denmark. ''J Clin Epidemiol''2003;56:88-93. PMID 12589875.</ref>
*The presence of [characteristic of disease] is associated with a particularly [good/poor] prognosis among patients with [disease/malignancy].
*[Subtype of disease/malignancy] is associated with the most favorable prognosis.
*The prognosis varies with the [characteristic] of tumor; [subtype of disease/malignancy] have the most favorable prognosis.


{|  
{|  
Line 85: Line 100:
| '''Variceal bleeding''' || '''65% mortality at 1 year (35% short-term mortality)'''
| '''Variceal bleeding''' || '''65% mortality at 1 year (35% short-term mortality)'''
|}
|}
====Poor prognostic factors====
* Prolonged [[prothrombin time]]
* Serum [[Bilirubin]] >10 mg/dL
* [[Hepatic encephalopathy]]
* [[Azotemia]]
* [[Leukocytosis]]
* Unresponsive to [[steroid]] treatment
* Reversal [[Portal vein|portal]] flow on [[Doppler ultrasound|doppler USG]]


===Scoring Systems===
===Scoring systems===
* [[Model for End-Stage Liver Disease]]
Important scoring systems used are as follows:<ref name="pmid3610046">{{cite journal |vauthors=Infante-Rivard C, Esnaola S, Villeneuve JP |title=Clinical and statistical validity of conventional prognostic factors in predicting short-term survival among cirrhotics |journal=Hepatology |volume=7 |issue=4 |pages=660–4 |year=1987 |pmid=3610046 |doi= |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid11172350">{{cite journal |vauthors=Kamath PS, Wiesner RH, Malinchoc M, Kremers W, Therneau TM, Kosberg CL, D'Amico G, Dickson ER, Kim WR |title=A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease |journal=Hepatology |volume=33 |issue=2 |pages=464–70 |year=2001 |pmid=11172350 |doi=10.1053/jhep.2001.22172 |url=}}</ref>
* [[Model for End-Stage Liver Disease]]<ref name="pmid12512033">{{cite journal |vauthors=Wiesner R, Edwards E, Freeman R, Harper A, Kim R, Kamath P, Kremers W, Lake J, Howard T, Merion RM, Wolfe RA, Krom R |title=Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and allocation of donor livers |journal=Gastroenterology |volume=124 |issue=1 |pages=91–6 |year=2003 |pmid=12512033 |doi=10.1053/gast.2003.50016 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid15719393">{{cite journal |vauthors=Wiesner RH |title=Evidence-based evolution of the MELD/PELD liver allocation policy |journal=Liver Transpl. |volume=11 |issue=3 |pages=261–3 |year=2005 |pmid=15719393 |doi=10.1002/lt.20362 |url=}}</ref><ref name="pmid15885353">{{cite journal |vauthors=Huo TI, Wu JC, Lin HC, Lee FY, Hou MC, Lee PC, Chang FY, Lee SD |title=Evaluation of the increase in model for end-stage liver disease (DeltaMELD) score over time as a prognostic predictor in patients with advanced cirrhosis: risk factor analysis and comparison with initial MELD and Child-Turcotte-Pugh score |journal=J. Hepatol. |volume=42 |issue=6 |pages=826–32 |year=2005 |pmid=15885353 |doi=10.1016/j.jhep.2005.01.019 |url=}}</ref>
* [[Pediatric end-stage liver disease|Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease]]
* [[Pediatric end-stage liver disease|Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease]]
* [[Child-Pugh score]]
* [[Child-Pugh score]]
* [[Child-Turcotte classification]]
* [[Child-Turcotte classification]]


The severity of cirrhosis is commonly classified with the older [[Child-Turcotte score]] and the newer [[Child-Pugh score]]. This score uses [[bilirubin]], [[human serum albumin|albumin]], [[prothrombin time|INR]], presence and severity of [[ascites]] and [[Hepatic encephalopathy|encephalopathy]] to classify patients in class A, B or C; class A has a favorable prognosis, while class C is at a high risk of death. It was devised in 1964 by Child and Turcotte and modified in 1973 by Pugh ''et al''.<ref>Pugh RN, Murray-Lyon IM, Dawson JL, Pietroni MC, Williams R. Transection of the oesophagus for bleeding oesophageal varices. ''Br J Surg'' 1973;60:646-9. PMID 4541913.</ref>
* The severity of cirrhosis is commonly classified with the [[Child-Turcotte score|Child-Turcotte]] and [[Child-Pugh score|Child-Pugh scores]]. It was devised in 1964 by Child and Turcotte and modified in 1973 by Pugh ''et al''.<ref>Pugh RN, Murray-Lyon IM, Dawson JL, Pietroni MC, Williams R. Transection of the esophagus for bleeding oesophageal varices. ''Br J Surg'' 1973;60:646-9. PMID 4541913.</ref>
* The [[Child-Pugh score|Child-Pugh]] score uses [[bilirubin]], [[human serum albumin|albumin]], [[prothrombin time|INR]], presence and severity of [[ascites]] and [[Hepatic encephalopathy|encephalopathy]] to classify patients in class A, B or C types.
* Class A type has a favorable [[prognosis]], while class C is at a high risk of death.


More modern scores, used in the allocation of [[liver transplant]]s but also in other contexts, are the [[Model for End-Stage Liver Disease]] (MELD) score and its pediatric counterpart, the [[Pediatric end-stage liver disease|Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease]] ([[PELD]]) score.
* Modern scores, used in the allocation of [[liver transplant]]s are the [[Model for End-Stage Liver Disease]] (MELD) score and its pediatric counterpart, the [[Pediatric end-stage liver disease|Pediatric End-Stage Liver Disease]] ([[PELD]]) score.
 
==Complications==


==References==
==References==

Latest revision as of 18:35, 27 December 2017

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Editor-In-Chief: C. Michael Gibson, M.S., M.D. [1] Associate Editor(s)-in-Chief: Sudarshana Datta, MD [2]

Overview

Cirrhosis is an irreversible process, the course of which is highly variable in patients. The natural history progresses in such a way that there is a lengthy stage of compensation, followed by the development of complications and sequelae as a result of the cirrhosis. The devastating complications include complete liver failure or the development of hepatocellular carcinoma. Other complications include portal hypertension, ascites, jaundice, itching, esophageal varices, spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, hepatic encephalopathy, hepatorenal syndrome, hepatopulmonary syndrome and cardiomyopathy. Prognosis depends on the causes, existing complications and a variety of factors which make the prediction of life expectancy questionable. There are scores that classify disease severity and help to determine suitability for liver transplantation in patients.

Natural history

Decompensated cirrhosis

In patients with stable cirrhosis, decompensation may occur due to various causes:

Complications

Prognosis

Well-Compensated, no alcohol 35% mortality at 2 years
Onset of Ascites 50% mortality at 2 years
Variceal bleeding 65% mortality at 1 year (35% short-term mortality)

Poor prognostic factors

Scoring systems

Important scoring systems used are as follows:[27][28]

References

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