WBR0793: Difference between revisions

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|ExamType=USMLE Step 1
|ExamType=USMLE Step 1
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|MainCategory=Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology
|SubCategory=Cardiology, Reproductive
|Prompt=A company is testing a new diagnostic tool for the detection of squamous cell carcinoma of the skin and comparing the results to biopsy specimens validated by professional dermatopathologists. The results are shown below. What is the probability that a person really doesn't have squamous cell carcinoma if his test result comes back negative?
|Prompt=A new urine pregnancy test is being studied before being distributed to pharmacies. A trial is conducted to compare the results of this new test to a combination of imaging and blood HCG levels to validate the pregnancy. A table showing the results of the study are shwon below. What is the probability that a woman is really pregnant if her urine pregnancy test result comes back positive?




[[Image:WBR0792.jpg|500px]]
[[Image:WBR0793.jpg|500px]]
|Explanation=The negative predictive value is the probability that a person really doesn't have disease if a test result is negative. The calculation is shown below.
|Explanation=The positive predictive value is the probability that a person really has a condition if his test result is positive. The calculation is shown below.




[[Image:Biostat.png|600px]]
[[Image:Biostat.png|600px]]
|AnswerA=82.75%
|AnswerA=85.71%
|AnswerAExp=This refers to the sensitivity.
|AnswerAExp=This refers to the sensitivity.
|AnswerB=80%
|AnswerB=75%
|AnswerBExp=This refers to the positive predictive value.
|AnswerBExp=This refers to the positive predictive value.
|AnswerC=94.11%
|AnswerC=89.28%
|AnswerCExp=This refers to the NPV.
|AnswerCExp=This refers to the NPV.
|AnswerD=93.02%
|AnswerD=80.64%
|AnswerDExp=This refers to the specificity.
|AnswerDExp=This refers to the specificity.
|AnswerE=76.92%
|AnswerE=62%
|RightAnswer=C
|RightAnswer=B
|WBRKeyword=Negative predictive value
|WBRKeyword=Positive predictive value
|Approved=No
|Approved=No
}}
}}

Revision as of 00:36, 31 October 2013

 
Author [[PageAuthor::Rim Halaby, M.D. [1]]]
Exam Type ExamType::USMLE Step 1
Main Category MainCategory::Biostatistics/ Epidemiology
Sub Category SubCategory::Cardiology, SubCategory::Reproductive
Prompt [[Prompt::A new urine pregnancy test is being studied before being distributed to pharmacies. A trial is conducted to compare the results of this new test to a combination of imaging and blood HCG levels to validate the pregnancy. A table showing the results of the study are shwon below. What is the probability that a woman is really pregnant if her urine pregnancy test result comes back positive?


]]

Answer A AnswerA::85.71%
Answer A Explanation AnswerAExp::This refers to the sensitivity.
Answer B AnswerB::75%
Answer B Explanation AnswerBExp::This refers to the positive predictive value.
Answer C AnswerC::89.28%
Answer C Explanation AnswerCExp::This refers to the NPV.
Answer D AnswerD::80.64%
Answer D Explanation AnswerDExp::This refers to the specificity.
Answer E AnswerE::62%
Answer E Explanation AnswerEExp::
Right Answer RightAnswer::B
Explanation [[Explanation::The positive predictive value is the probability that a person really has a condition if his test result is positive. The calculation is shown below.



Educational Objective:
References: ]]

Approved Approved::No
Keyword WBRKeyword::Positive predictive value
Linked Question Linked::
Order in Linked Questions LinkedOrder::